Preliminary data released by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) on May 30 showed approved building permits rising to 29,468 in the first three months of the year from 24,400 in the same period in 2013.
The projects summed up to a total floor area of 6.25 million square meters and were valued at P61.15 million. Around 70% were for residential use.
Region 4A or the Calabarzon (Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal and Quezon) was site of 21% of projects. Following it were Region 3 or Central Luzon with 13%; Region 7 or Central Visayas with 12.7%; the National Capital Region with 10.3%; and Region 11 or Davao Region with 7.8%.
PSA statistics were based on building permits approved by local government units’ building officials. The permits were for construction work that ought to have been completed within the reference period -- the first quarter, in this case -- and not construction work that was completed during the reference period.
Noting the slowdown in the construction sector in the first quarter, Nicholas Antonio T. Mapa, associate economist at the Bank of the Philippine Islands, said construction activity may stay sluggish in the second quarter with the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) closely watching bank lending to the real estate sector.
“Private construction makes up bulk of the construction sector and the slowdown in the private sector, in response to BSP’s measures, was enough to slow down the overall industry... Banks are [constrained] by the rule of 20% real estate lending to total loan portfolio, which ensures that only the best borrowers are granted credit...,” he said in an email.
“Construction will undoubtedly slow down possibly in the [second quarter] but rebound in the [second half] of the year due to base effects.”
Gross domestic product growth slowed to 5.7% in the first quarter from 7.7% in the same period in 2013. Growth in the industry sector fell to 5.5% from 11.3%, with growth in construction substantially decelerating to 0.9% from 31%.
To better monitor banks’ exposure to the real estate sector, the BSP has required them to report not only loans, including loans for socialized and low-cost housing, but also investments in debt and equity securities that were used to raise money for real estate activities. Real estate exposure is capped at 20% of total loans.
The definition of “real estate activities” was expanded to include buying and selling, rental and management of real estate properties on top of development and construction of real estate properties.
The BSP wanted to check price bubbles, noting how banking crises often stemmed from crises in the property markets.
Early this month, it said stress tests would be conducted to see if banks’ capital adequacy ratio remained compliant with the 10% regulatory minimum even after absorbing losses from their real estate exposure.
“The slowdown in construction [in the first quarter] was a welcome one as it was on the back of BSP’s prudent stewardship... to ensure that a real estate bubble was avoided,” Mr. Mapa said. - See more at: http://research.bworldonline.com/print_preview.php?article_id=416#sthash.5kDx8pZF.dpuf